ACI · Canonical Diagram · v1.0 · 2026 TRT — Temporal Resilience Theory

Temporal Resilience Theory

Hierarchical structure of decision-capacity limits across strategic and institutional systems

FOUNDATIONAL THEORY Temporal Resilience Theory TRT All complex systems have a finite decision window — beyond which choices no longer alter outcomes. STT · STRATEGIC DOMAIN Strategic Termination Time Exogenous temporal collapse. Adversary-driven decision closure. MILITARY KINETIC MEASURES Adversary tempo · Escalation rate Operational closure · AIW / APTT / IPT ITT · INSTITUTIONAL DOMAIN Institutional Termination Time Endogenous temporal collapse. Governance-driven decision closure. GOVERNANCE POLITICAL MEASURES Institutional latency · Acceptance delay Governance coherence · Decision lag PRESSURE TRANSFER CAUSAL SEQUENCE STT pressure → Institutional overload → ITT collapse → LR detects C-class coupling is causal, not diagnostic DIAGNOSTIC INSTRUMENT Lex Resiliens LR() Detects ITT collapse threshold. Classifies: A · B · C (governance failure). SCOPE: INSTITUTIONAL ONLY · endogenous does not diagnose STT EXOGENOUS system observes world ENDOGENOUS system observes itself OBSERVER – SYSTEM SEPARATION
STT — Strategic Termination Time
Exogenous temporal collapse
The time an adversary requires to achieve a politically decisive outcome. Pressure originates outside the system — from adversary tempo, kinetic operations, and escalation dynamics. The defending system observes the world.
ITT — Institutional Termination Time
Endogenous temporal collapse
The time before an institution loses causal agency over outcomes due to internal coordination failure, legitimacy friction, or decision latency. Pressure originates inside the system. The system observes itself.
Lex Resiliens — LR()
Diagnostic instrument for ITT
Identifies the transition point at which institutional decision capacity ceases to influence outcomes. Classifies situations as A (technical necessity), B (value choice), or C (governance failure). Scope is institutional only — LR does not diagnose STT.
Pressure Transfer
Causal coupling, not diagnostic symmetry
STT pressure can trigger ITT collapse — operational tempo generates institutional overload, which accelerates governance failure. This coupling is causal and directional. It does not make LR a diagnostic for strategic systems.
ACI Canonical Diagram v1.0 · Temporal Resilience Theory · 2026
Reproduced as Figure 1 in ACI Working Paper No. 003
Aether Continuity Institute · Strategic Studies Programme