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Working Papers

WP-015 — Residual Market Failure and Elasticity Collapse in the Nordic Power System
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Three Simultaneous Structural Shifts and Their Interaction in the 2027–2030 Window
WP-012 — MESA Transition Pathway: From Structural Z3 to Operational Z1
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · D-5 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Energy Sufficiency, Temporal Fragility, and the Architecture of Finnish Resilience 2026–2035
WP-011 — Institutional System-4 Architecture for Small-State Viability
2026 · Domain D-3 · D-4 · Version 0.2 · Open Working Draft
Pre-Crisis Learning, Credible Analogy Transmission, and the Cost Internalisation Mechanism
WP-010 — Why Energy-Bound Computation Inherits Grid Logic
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · D-5 · Version 0.1 · Open Working Draft
Architectural pressure follows failure mode speed and visibility
WP-009 — Coupled Infrastructure: When Computation Becomes Energy-Bound
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · D-5 · Version 0.2 · Open Working Draft
Capital structure shapes national digital infrastructure trajectory under energy–computation coupling
WP-008 — Institutional Allocation and System Continuity
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-3 · D-4 · Version 1.1 · Open Working Draft
A framework for analysing infrastructure capital allocation through the lens of system continuity
WP-007 — Situational Awareness Persistence Under Compound Stress
2026 · Domain D-6 · Version 1.0 · Working Draft
Structural properties of local intelligence platforms when energy, communications, and institutional decision support fail simultaneously
WP-006 — Continuity Computing: Decision Capacity as a System Invariant Under Compound Stress
2026 · Domain D-5 · Version 1.0 · Working Draft
Introduces Continuity Computing as a formal analytical category and formalises decision capacity dynamics through a control-theoretic model
WP-005 — Compound Stress and System Continuity: Finland 2025–2035
2026 · Compound Stress Diagnostics · Domain D-1 / D-4 · Working Draft
WP-004 — Recovery Capacity and System Vulnerability: Trajectory as a Diagnostic Indicator
2026 · Diagnostic Synthesis · Version 1.1 · Working Draft
WP-004 Calibration Series
WP-003 — Institutional Termination Time and Temporal Decision Capacity
2026 · Theory Note · Version 1.0 · Working Draft
WP-002 — Distributed Resilience Doctrine
2026 · Working Paper · Version 1.0 · DRD Series Paper I of VI
WP-001 — Duration Adequacy and Continuity Risk
2026 · Working Paper · Version 1.1

Diagnostic Assessments

DA-006 — Labour Market Allocation Diagnostic
2026 · Domain D-3 · D-4 · Open Working Draft
Operationalises WP-008 indicators L–1 through L–5 for the Finnish labour market
DA-005 — Digital Infrastructure Allocation Diagnostic
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · D-5 · D-6 · Version 0.4 · Open Working Draft
Six-country comparative analysis — France, Finland, United States, Germany, Estonia, Sweden
DA-004 — European Energy Investment: Category I / II Proxy Analysis
2026 · Domain D-1 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Tests WP-008 diagnostic partition against IEA aggregate European energy investment data
DA-003 — Infrastructure Allocation Diagnostic: Finland
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · Version 6.0 · Open Working Draft
Operationalises WP-008 indicators I–1 through I–5 using structural Finnish energy system data
DA-003 Companion
DA-002 — Awareness Infrastructure Readiness
2026 · Open Working Draft
DA-001 — Finland Pre-Shortage Phase 2026–2032
2026 · Diagnostic Assessment · Version 1.1

Research Query Memos

RQM-001 — Correlated Continuity Blindspots in OECD Infrastructure Allocation
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Companion to WP-008 — specifies the E-1 empirical test

Technical Notes

TN-006 — Temporal Elasticity (εₜ): Measurement, Estimation, and System-Level Implications
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · D-5 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Introduces εₜ as a diagnostic variable — companion to WP-012 and WP-001
TN-005 — Tier A System Audit Questionnaire
2026 · Domain D-3 · D-4 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Operative H-4b enforcement instrument for WP-011 framework
TN-004 — Decision-Critical System Scoping Tool
2026 · Open Working Draft
Defines the boundary between decision-critical and non-decision-critical in public sector digital architecture
TN-003 — D1–D4 Architectural Audit Metrics
2026 · Open Working Draft
Minimum audit criteria distinguishing nominal from operative H-4b — operationalises WP-011 §06
TN-002 — Duration-Capable Edge Intelligence Node
2026 · Open Working Draft
Architecture specification for WP-006 D1–D4 endurance requirements
TN-001 — Duration-Capable Local Energy Node
2025 · Technical Note · Version 1.0

Supporting Papers

SP-003 — The RAID-Battery: Segmented Energy Architecture, SEFI-R, and Fault-Tolerant Electrochemical Storage
2026 · Open Working Draft · CC BY 4.0
Architecture concept paper — SEFI-R testing methodology — economic analysis including appendices A, B, E, F, G
SP-002 — SGFA 4.0: Kunnallisen energiavakauden toteutusohjelma
2026 · Executive Summary · Version 2.1 · Open Working Draft
Smart Grid Flexibility Alliance — MESA-arkkitehtuurin kunnallinen investointiohjelma
SP-001 — Power Adequacy Under Compound Stress: Reserve Duration and Tail-Risk Contraction in Wind-Dominant Systems
2026 · Domain D-1 · D-4 · Version 1.0 · Open Working Draft
Case Study: Finland 2026–2035 · Quantitative empirical foundation for WP-001 duration adequacy argument

Supplements

Ω-0 Reference Document — Recovery Capacity Diagnostic Instrument
2026 · Operational Reference · Open Use · No Attribution Required
MESA Architecture Framework
2025 · Architecture Reference